Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.286726 0.308739 0.332171 0.359062 0.389184 0.422015 0.460683
2025-11-30 0.251753 0.283506 0.319596 0.364061 0.417949 0.481906 0.564732
2025-12-07 0.227402 0.263704 0.306805 0.362574 0.434087 0.524545 0.650764
2025-12-14 0.209755 0.248709 0.296533 0.360849 0.447184 0.562380 0.733928
2025-12-21 0.193266 0.233077 0.283230 0.352755 0.449581 0.584602 0.797185
2025-12-28 0.185881 0.228046 0.282578 0.360591 0.473558 0.638827 0.915836
2026-01-04 0.178365 0.222047 0.279834 0.364811 0.492223 0.686994 1.033406
2026-01-11 0.170541 0.214953 0.274850 0.365055 0.504522 0.726338 1.143265
2026-01-18 0.161552 0.205625 0.265983 0.358645 0.505547 0.747034 1.222965
2026-01-25 0.152357 0.195453 0.255209 0.348391 0.499211 0.754110 1.277379
2026-02-01 0.145142 0.187654 0.247332 0.341869 0.498136 0.769906 1.352364
2026-02-08 0.138627 0.180506 0.239962 0.335518 0.496597 0.784415 1.427516
2026-02-15 0.132789 0.174210 0.233724 0.330874 0.498164 0.806132 1.527447
2026-02-22 0.129846 0.171996 0.233497 0.335939 0.517352 0.864950 1.733886
2026-03-01 0.125573 0.167589 0.229641 0.334667 0.524888 0.901507 1.896372
2026-03-08 0.121571 0.163383 0.225833 0.333133 0.531680 0.937452 2.069964
2026-03-15 0.116570 0.157447 0.218998 0.325911 0.526867 0.947360 2.171291
2026-03-22 0.115066 0.156732 0.220340 0.332904 0.550292 1.024435 2.513952
2026-03-29 0.112960 0.154983 0.219902 0.336667 0.567634 1.090616 2.855739
2026-04-05 0.110262 0.152192 0.217609 0.336884 0.577658 1.140780 3.167680
2026-04-12 0.106561 0.147687 0.212282 0.331167 0.574563 1.156945 3.353420
2026-04-19 0.102405 0.142326 0.205321 0.322013 0.563275 1.149878 3.437796
2026-04-26 0.099095 0.138205 0.200275 0.316184 0.558786 1.160712 3.612281